North Carolina vs. Miami (FL) Predictions & Picks

Saturday's game at Watsco Center has the No. 3 North Carolina Tar Heels (18-5, 11-2 ACC) going head-to-head against the Miami Hurricanes (15-8, 6-7 ACC) at 4:00 PM (on February 10). Our computer prediction projects a 78-74 win for North Carolina, who is a small favorite based on our model.

Saturday's game at Watsco Center has the No. 3 North Carolina Tar Heels (18-5, 11-2 ACC) going head-to-head against the Miami Hurricanes (15-8, 6-7 ACC) at 4:00 PM (on February 10). Our computer prediction projects a 78-74 win for North Carolina, who is a small favorite based on our model.

Based on our computer prediction, North Carolina is a good bet to cover the point spread, which is listed at 3.5. The two sides are projected to fall short of the 160.5 over/under.

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North Carolina vs. Miami (FL) Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, February 10, 2024
  • Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN
  • Where: Coral Gables, Florida
  • Venue: Watsco Center
  • Line: North Carolina -3.5
  • Point Total: 160.5
  • Moneyline (To Win): North Carolina -165, Miami (FL) +140

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North Carolina vs. Miami (FL) Score Prediction

  • Prediction: North Carolina 78, Miami (FL) 74

Spread & Total Prediction for North Carolina vs. Miami (FL)

  • Pick ATS: North Carolina (-3.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (160.5)

North Carolina is 14-8-0 against the spread this season compared to Miami (FL)'s 10-10-0 ATS record. The Tar Heels are 11-11-0 and the Hurricanes are 9-11-0 in terms of hitting the over. The teams score an average of 161.8 points per game, 1.3 more points than this matchup's total. North Carolina has a 7-3 record against the spread while going 8-2 overall in the past 10 contests. Miami (FL) has gone 5-5 against the spread and 4-6 overall in its last 10 games.

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North Carolina Performance Insights

  • The Tar Heels' +286 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 12.5 points per game) is a result of scoring 82.8 points per game (21st in college basketball) while allowing 70.3 per contest (134th in college basketball).
  • The 41.3 rebounds per game North Carolina averages rank 10th in college basketball, and are 6.7 more than the 34.6 its opponents grab per contest.
  • North Carolina connects on 7.7 three-pointers per game (151st in college basketball), while its opponents have made 6.9 on average.
  • The Tar Heels rank 44th in college basketball by averaging 101.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 45th in college basketball, allowing 86.5 points per 100 possessions.
  • North Carolina has committed 9.8 turnovers per game (47th in college basketball action) while forcing 10.5 (275th in college basketball).

Miami (FL) Performance Insights

  • The Hurricanes' +167 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 7.3 points per game) is a result of putting up 79 points per game (62nd in college basketball) while giving up 71.7 per contest (177th in college basketball).
  • Miami (FL) ranks 93rd in college basketball at 37.5 rebounds per game. That's 3.5 more than the 34 its opponents average.
  • Miami (FL) makes 8.8 three-pointers per game (54th in college basketball) compared to its opponents' 8.6. It shoots 37.1% from deep, and its opponents shoot 30.5%.
  • Miami (FL) has committed 12.3 turnovers per game (260th in college basketball) while forcing 11.3 (206th in college basketball).

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